Dr Sally Leivesley
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Risk Assessment Modelling

Newrisk Limited applies an original risk assessment model developed from original doctorate research work by Newrisk Limited's principal adviser, Dr Leivesley. To return to the overview of the risk assessment services provided by Newrisk Limited, please click here.

The catastrophic risk modelling used by Dr Leivesley was developed from an initial study of over 2,000 incidents in original research. This research provided key dimensions across all disasters and factors which caused a breakdown in critical functions of business and government. In the subsequent years, practical experience with managing disaster recovery units and providing catastrophic risk advice across a variety of industries has broadened the range of factors used in models to assess particular risks.

The catastrophic risk speciality covers all risks across all industries and disciplines where failures in a critical function may cause a total collapse of business processes, government policies and responses, crises from natural disasters, terrorism or major accidents. The health of populations is particularly dependent on catastrophic risk assessment as this discipline protects against mass casualties from disasters such as earthquakes, pandemics, terrorist actions or as a consequence of war.

The advantage of the risk modelling process applied by Newrisk Limited is that human factor failures can be included alongside technology, conflict, terrorism, technological processes and geopolitical inputs. Quantification of risk is an important contribution to business and government policies. Operational plans and the operational risk assessment work by Newrisk Limited's principal adviser, Dr Leivesley, allow stress testing, the exercising of existing procedures, the assessment of the cost effectiveness of any new controls being considered by organisations or governments to reduce the risk of catastrophic loss or otherwise mitigate incidents in real-time.

To request Newrisk Limited's assistance in connection with a risk assessment or to discuss a tailored package of services, please contact Newrisk Limited directly.


Sally Leivesley



  • Terror 2017
  • Cyber 2017

New dangers are appearing from terrorism for the UK & other countries after the failed Parsons Green underground rail bombing.  Greater public preparedness is now important on what to do in an imminent emergency whether arising from bombs, knives, car ramming or shootings. Workplace training & exercising will help many commuters & will be transferred by them to their families & importantly will encourage parents to discuss emergency evacuations & procedures with any children who travel unaccompanied to school each day.   Newrisk Limited which is a founder member of The Exercise Group7 LLP, (TEG7) is now part of the team providing 14 bespoke courses to mitigate risk from cyber & terrorism & to develop greater awareness of protection under catastrophic risk events.   The TEG7 team work is built up from former military specialist skills & institutional cyber operations skills (www.teg7.co.uk).

Individuals can be encouraged to make their own personal protection plans to empower themselves for any unlikely emergency from terrorism so that they are quickly able to recognise an incident & protect themselves & people close-by to the best of their ability.  Personal plans may include understanding what may be seen or heard or smelt when in proximity to a threat, what materials in clothing give better durability in certain threat situations & what the timelines are for the best chances for survival & mitigation of injury & shock.  Psychological issues in the aftermath of a high threat incident are also important for awareness & self-help & seeking professional help is possible also in these upsetting situations when there has been a near death experience.

Personal information data loss from 400,000 British citizens has been reported by Equifax alongside 143 million Americans in an incident identified in September.  These large data losses provide the criminal world - as well as nation states that use hackers as proxies for defence & commercial information - with the means to undertake identity theft & to attack individuals & companies in many different ways.  Personal history details remain the same throughout life & passwords are frequently used across different areas of activity so that hacking of this scale inevitably exposes the workplace as well as the individual.

Newrisk Limited as part of the TEG7 (The Exercise Group 7 LLP) training initiative, is providing cyber risk mitigation & catastrophic risk training for companies & governments world-wide.  The TEG7 team work is built up from former military specialist skills & institutional cyber operations skills (www.teg7.co.uk). There are 14 courses designed for cyber & physical security to be managed in an integrated format along with an understanding of the extreme threats which are difficult to recognise but which threaten the sustainability of operations.